The universe, the world, biology, human behavior is determined and unpredictable.
Business models will always be inaccurate as business is unpredictable and almost intractably so.
Software will always ship with bugs. No amount of qa can squash them all.
Your best approach to product development is to try things and try a lot of things and see how they catch on. Attempting to predict user preference or consumer demand beyond an educated guess is a waste of time, money and energy.
Time is intervening variable. What we care about and what we actually measure when discussing time is change – the change in position relative to gear ticks, the change in position of the planets relative to each other, the change in our bodies relative to our experiences and so on.
If not you, someone else. That holds for discoveries, jobs, relationships. We’re all interchangeable and we will be interchanged. The systems operate with or without us, sometimes “we” impact the system, sometimes we don’t.
Human cognition and the increase in our life spans is not “breaking the design” or “breaking from the constraints” of evolution. The consequence of big brains, complex nervous systems can play out exactly as we are. Other biological strategies are possible and have been “successful” at sustaining a species. We do not know how we sustain the species by increasing life span and expanding knowledge, we can only observe and won’t know unless we persist as a species long enough or we die off (then we really won’t know).
There is a formal limit to knowledge. The formal limit is far greater than our practical limit.
Philosophy provides little real insight into how it all works yet we all have a philosophy due to the practical limit of knowledge.
We are not even close to our practical limit of technology.
Math is a useful tool. It is not pure and it is not objective truth.
Science is highly relative to/subjective of the person/people doing it. It is a narrative, not statements of absolute truth.
If a theory takes longer than observation to explain something, it has little value.
We will never be able to predict the markets completely – never well enough to avoid the big shocks.
I’ll have more statements later this week.
Of course, I’ll even back these up!
~R
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